Weekly Mortgage Overview: 10/28/2013

By October 28, 2013Mortgage Overview

A huge amount of economic data will hit this week due to several reports hitting that were postponed as a result of the government shutdown.

We will have a good read on the consumer with Retail Sales, Consumer Confidence and Auto Sales, as well as on manufacturing with Chicago PMI and ISM Manufacturing.  There will also be more data on the jobs front with ADP Private Payrolls and Initial Jobless Claims. On the Housing front will be Pending Home Sales and the Case-Shiller Home Price Index; and on the inflationary front PPI and CPI.

So that means data on just about every sector of our economy this week.  Of course, the focus will naturally be on Wednesday’s Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC aka “the Fed”) interest rate decision and policy statement.  However, most traders and economists do not expect the FOMC to make any changes to their policies or their time tables.

This week’s Treasury auctions:
10/28 2 year note
10/29 5 year note
10/30 7 year note

What is on the agenda for this week?

Date

Time (ET)

Economic Release

Market Expects

Prior

28-Oct

9:15 AM

Industrial Production

0.30%

0.40%

28-Oct

9:15 AM

Capacity Utilization

78.00%

77.80%

28-Oct

10:00 AM

Pending Home Sales

-1.30%

-1.60%

29-Oct

8:30 AM

Retail Sales

-0.10%

0.20%

29-Oct

8:30 AM

Retail Sales ex-auto

0.30%

0.10%

29-Oct

8:30 AM

PPI

0.20%

0.30%

29-Oct

9:00 AM

Case-Shiller 20-city Index

12.40%

12.00%

29-Oct

10:00 AM

Business Inventories

0.20%

0.40%

29-Oct

10:00 AM

Consumer Confidence

73.1

79.7

30-Oct

7:00 AM

MBA Mortgage Index

NA

-0.60%

30-Oct

8:15 AM

ADP Employment Change

125K

166K

30-Oct

8:30 AM

CPI

0.10%

0.10%

30-Oct

8:30 AM

Core CPI

0.10%

0.10%

30-Oct

10:30 AM

Crude Inventories

NA

5.246M

30-Oct

2:15 PM

FOMC Rate Decision

0.25%

0.25%

31-Oct

7:30 AM

Challenger Job Cuts

NA

19.10%

31-Oct

8:30 AM

Initial Claims

335K

350K

31-Oct

8:30 AM

Continuing Claims

2850K

2874K

31-Oct

9:45 AM

Chicago PMI

55

55.7

31-Oct

10:30 AM

Natural Gas Inventories

NA

87 bcf

1-Nov

10:00 AM

ISM Index

55

56.2

1-Nov

10:00 AM

Construction Spending

NA

NA

1-Nov

2:00 PM

Auto Sales

NA

5.4M

1-Nov

2:00 PM

Truck Sales

NA

6.5M